France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Haute-Garonne

Gouaux-de-Larboust: ENSEMBLE POUR GOUAUX DE LARBOUST won the town hall in 2026; Raphaël Glucksmann would lead here in 2027

Gouaux-de-Larboust (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31221) has 77 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 74 voted, 71 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR GOUAUX DE LARBOUSTNo label (small commune) 52.1% · 37 · 6 seats
  2. POUR GOUAUX-DE-LARBOUST, POUR LES AGUDES, POUR LA VALLEENo label (small commune) 47.9% · 34 · 1 seat

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Gouaux-de-Larboust

Gouaux-de-Larboust is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 77 registered voters, the 510th largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 96.1% of them voted, more than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and ENSEMBLE POUR GOUAUX DE LARBOUST won 6 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 37.3%, National Rally 15.7%, France Unbowed 15.7%. Socialists did 10 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Raphaël Glucksmann ahead on 35.6%, with Marine Le Pen on 21.1%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Gouaux-de-Larboust from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 35.6% · France 13.4%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 21.1% · France 34.2%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.6% · France 14.3%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.0% · France 7.6%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.5% · France 16.8%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 0.8% · France 3.8%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 37.3% · National Rally 15.7% · France Unbowed 15.7% · Socialists 11.8% · Republicans 9.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne

Every commune in Haute-Garonne → · All of France →