Caubiac: CAUBIAC EN COMMUN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Caubiac (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31126) has 305 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 305registered voters
- 65%turnout, 2026 round one
- 37.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 199 voted, 185 valid votes
- CAUBIAC EN COMMUNNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 185 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Caubiac
Caubiac is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 305 registered voters, the 298th largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 65.2% of them voted, more than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and CAUBIAC EN COMMUN won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.1%, National Rally 23.6%, France Unbowed 13.5%. France Unbowed did 8 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 37.5%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 16.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Caubiac from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 37.5% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.2% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.5% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.4% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 8.1% · France 2.1%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.9% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.8% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.0% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.8% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.1% · National Rally 23.6% · France Unbowed 13.5% · Others 11.6% · Sovereigntists 7.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne
- Juzet-de-Luchon304 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montpitol308 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Marcet302 voters · No label (small commune)
- Aulon311 voters · No label (small commune)
- Mancioux312 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bonrepos-Riquet298 voters · No label (small commune)
- Le Cabanial313 voters · No label (small commune)
- Couladère313 voters · No label (small commune)