Ayguesvives: Aygues'Avenir, ensemble pour notre village won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Ayguesvives (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31004) has 2,323 registered voters. Its council has 23 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 2,323registered voters
- 52%turnout, 2026 round one
- 28.7%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,200 voted, 967 valid votes
- Aygues'Avenir, ensemble pour notre villageNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 967 · 23 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Ayguesvives
Ayguesvives is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 2,323 registered voters, the 81st largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 51.7% of them voted, fewer than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and Aygues'Avenir, ensemble pour notre village won 23 of the council's 23 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.1%, France Unbowed 25.6%, National Rally 17.3%. National Rally did 6 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 28.7%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 19.8%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Ayguesvives from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 28.7% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 19.8% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 19.0% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.0% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.6% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.8% · France 2.9%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.7% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.6% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.1% · France Unbowed 25.6% · National Rally 17.3% · Greens 6.8% · Reconquête 5.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne
- Montesquieu-Volvestre2,325 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cintegabelle2,331 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lagardelle-sur-Lèze2,315 voters · No label (small commune)
- Brax2,335 voters · No label (small commune)
- Pinsaguel2,277 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bagnères-de-Luchon2,375 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gagnac-sur-Garonne2,270 voters · No label (small commune)
- Fonbeauzard2,269 voters · No label (small commune)