Arnaud-Guilhem: CONTINUER ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR D'ARNAUD-GUILHEM won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Arnaud-Guilhem (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31018) has 190 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 190registered voters
- 75%turnout, 2026 round one
- 34.8%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 142 voted, 118 valid votes
- CONTINUER ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR D'ARNAUD-GUILHEMNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 118 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Arnaud-Guilhem from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 34.8% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 23.4% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.5% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.6% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.7% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.2% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.7% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 26.6% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.7% · National Rally 18.8% · Others 17.5% · Reconquête 4.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne
- Juzet-d'Izaut190 voters · No label (small commune)
- Mascarville190 voters · No label (small commune)
- Chein-Dessus189 voters · No label (small commune)
- Loudet189 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montmaurin192 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Ignan192 voters · No label (small commune)
- Fronsac188 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lussan-Adeilhac188 voters · No label (small commune)