Le Moule: CONTINUONS À REUSSIR ! won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027
Le Moule (Guadeloupe, INSEE 97117) has 18,791 registered voters. Its council has 35 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 18,791registered voters
- 51%turnout, 2026 round one
- 39.0%Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 2027 round one here (France: 16.8%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 9,526 voted, 9,142 valid votes
- CONTINUONS À REUSSIR !Miscellaneous left 51.1% · 4,671 · 27 seats
- ENSEMBLE UNIS POUR LE MOULEMiscellaneous centre 31.2% · 2,852 · 6 seats
- Le Moule, ses Valeurs, son AvenirMiscellaneous 13.5% · 1,230 · 2 seats
- Le Moule AutrementMiscellaneous 4.3% · 389
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Le Moule
Le Moule is a commune in Guadeloupe with 18,791 registered voters, the 5th largest of the département's 32 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 50.7% of them voted, close to the 52.4% across Guadeloupe, and CONTINUONS À REUSSIR ! won 27 of the council's 35 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 51.6%, National Rally 22.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 14.1%. France Unbowed did 30 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 39%, with Marine Le Pen on 32.5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Moule from how it voted in 2022.
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 39.0% · France 16.8%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.5% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.1% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 6.8% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.5% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.5% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 0.8% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 0.6% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 51.6% · National Rally 22.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 14.1% · Republicans 3.3% · Reconquête 1.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Guadeloupe
- Sainte-Anne18,989 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Petit-Bourg18,496 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Le Gosier21,280 voters · Miscellaneous
- Capesterre-Belle-Eau15,745 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Sainte-Rose15,551 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Baie-Mahault23,404 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Morne-à-l'Eau13,777 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Lamentin13,695 voters · Socialist