France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Drôme

Orcinas: Bien vivre à Orcinas won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Orcinas (Drôme, INSEE 26222) has 30 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 26 voted, 26 valid votes

  1. Bien vivre à OrcinasNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 26 · 7 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Orcinas

Orcinas is a commune in Drôme with 30 registered voters, the 345th largest of the département's 362 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 86.7% of them voted, more than the 57.8% across Drôme, and Bien vivre à Orcinas won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Reconquête 22.6%, France Unbowed 22.6%, National Rally 19.4%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 21 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 30.2%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 16.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Orcinas from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 30.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.5% · France 16.8%
  3. Éric ZemmourReconquête 15.2% · France 3.8%
  4. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 12.0% · France 2.0%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.0% · France 7.6%
  6. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.5% · France 13.4%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 4.3% · France 2.9%
  8. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 3.3% · France 14.3%

In 2022, round one here: Reconquête 22.6% · France Unbowed 22.6% · National Rally 19.4% · Communist Party 12.9% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 6.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Drôme

Every commune in Drôme → · All of France →