France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Corse-du-Sud

Guagno: PÀ GUAGNU won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Guagno (Corse-du-Sud, INSEE 2A131) has 188 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 140 voted, 135 valid votes

  1. PÀ GUAGNUNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 135 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Guagno

Guagno is a commune in Corse-du-Sud with 188 registered voters, the 72nd largest of the département's 124 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 74.5% of them voted, more than the 69.4% across Corse-du-Sud, and PÀ GUAGNU won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 31.5%, Others 23.9%, Reconquête 17.4%. Others did 21 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 50.1%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 12.9%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Guagno from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 50.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.9% · France 13.4%
  3. Éric ZemmourReconquête 12.4% · France 3.8%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.5% · France 7.6%
  5. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 6.1% · France 14.3%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 4.3% · France 2.0%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.5% · France 2.1%
  8. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 1.7% · France 16.8%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 31.5% · Others 23.9% · Reconquête 17.4% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 10.9% · Republicans 5.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Corse-du-Sud

Every commune in Corse-du-Sud → · All of France →