France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Corse-du-Sud

Ajaccio: Stéphane Sbraggia's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Ajaccio (Corse-du-Sud, INSEE 2A004) has 37,674 registered voters. Its council has 49 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 24,685 voted, 23,721 valid votes

  1. FORZA AIACCIU !Led by Stéphane Sbraggia · Miscellaneous right 46.5% · 11,033 · 36 seats
  2. AIACCIU VIVULed by Jean-Paul Carrolaggi · Regionalist 40.8% · 9,689 · 10 seats
  3. GAGNER POUR AJACCIOLed by Francois Filoni · Rassemblement National 12.6% · 2,999 · 3 seats

Round one, 15 March · 23,702 voted, 23,077 valid votes

  1. FORZA AIACCIU !Miscellaneous right 37.8% · 8,732
  2. AIACCIU VIVURegionalist 26.7% · 6,169
  3. GAGNER POUR AJACCIORassemblement National 18.7% · 4,304
  4. STINTU AIACCINURegionalist 8.7% · 2,005
  5. LA GAUCHE UNIE - A VOCI DI U POPULUMiscellaneous left 8.1% · 1,867

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ajaccio

Ajaccio is a commune in Corse-du-Sud with 37,674 registered voters, the largest of the département's 124 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 62.9% of them voted, fewer than the 69.4% across Corse-du-Sud, and the list led by Stéphane Sbraggia won 36 of the council's 49 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 30.6%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19%, France Unbowed 14.9%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 9 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.8%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 11.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Ajaccio from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.8% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.6% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.0% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.8% · France 14.3%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 8.6% · France 3.8%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.6% · France 7.6%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.3% · France 2.0%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.0% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 30.6% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.0% · France Unbowed 14.9% · Reconquête 13.6% · Others 7.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Corse-du-Sud

Every commune in Corse-du-Sud → · All of France →