France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Saint-Jean-du-Bruel: Jean-Michel Daumas's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Saint-Jean-du-Bruel (Aveyron, INSEE 12231) has 624 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 507 voted, 500 valid votes

  1. Notre avenir pour Saint-JeanLed by Jean-Michel Daumas · No label (small commune) 46.4% · 232 · 12 seats
  2. DES AMBITIONS POUR SAINT JEANLed by Damien Quatrefages · No label (small commune) 33.0% · 165 · 2 seats
  3. SAINT-JEAN-DU-BRUEL, UN VILLAGE VIVANTLed by Virginie Valiere · No label (small commune) 20.6% · 103 · 1 seat

Round one, 15 March · 497 voted, 476 valid votes

  1. Notre avenir pour Saint-JeanNo label (small commune) 42.0% · 200
  2. DES AMBITIONS POUR SAINT JEANNo label (small commune) 31.5% · 150
  3. SAINT-JEAN-DU-BRUEL, UN VILLAGE VIVANTNo label (small commune) 26.5% · 126

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Saint-Jean-du-Bruel

Saint-Jean-du-Bruel is a commune in Aveyron with 624 registered voters, the 82nd largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 79.6% of them voted, more than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and the list led by Jean-Michel Daumas won 12 of the council's 15 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 29.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.2%, France Unbowed 13.9%. France Unbowed did 8 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.4%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 12.9%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Jean-du-Bruel from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.4% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.9% · France 13.4%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.1% · France 14.3%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.4% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.0% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.2% · France 3.8%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.7% · France 2.0%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.0% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.5% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.8% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 29.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.2% · France Unbowed 13.9% · Reconquête 10.3% · Others 9.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Aveyron

Every commune in Aveyron → · All of France →