France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Rivière-sur-Tarn: ENSEMBLE POUR NOS 4 VILLAGES won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Rivière-sur-Tarn (Aveyron, INSEE 12200) has 838 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 504 voted, 409 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR NOS 4 VILLAGESNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 409 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Rivière-sur-Tarn

Rivière-sur-Tarn is a commune in Aveyron with 838 registered voters, the 60th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.1% of them voted, fewer than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and ENSEMBLE POUR NOS 4 VILLAGES won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.9%, National Rally 22.8%, France Unbowed 20.6%. Others did 6 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 35.3%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 19.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Rivière-sur-Tarn from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 35.3% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 19.2% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.3% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.4% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.9% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.8% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.0% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.3% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.0% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.8% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.9% · National Rally 22.8% · France Unbowed 20.6% · Others 8.8% · Reconquête 8.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Aveyron

Every commune in Aveyron → · All of France →