Montagnol: Ensemble pour l'avenir de notre commune won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Montagnol (Aveyron, INSEE 12147) has 133 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 133registered voters
- 63%turnout, 2026 round one
- 43.1%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 84 voted, 64 valid votes
- Ensemble pour l'avenir de notre communeNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 64 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Montagnol
Montagnol is a commune in Aveyron with 133 registered voters, the 261st largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 63.2% of them voted, fewer than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and Ensemble pour l'avenir de notre commune won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 25.7%, France Unbowed 21%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.1%. Others did 12 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 43.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 17.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montagnol from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 43.1% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 17.2% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.9% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.6% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.7% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.4% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.3% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.1% · France 0.6%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.9% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 0.7% · France 2.9%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 25.7% · France Unbowed 21.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.1% · Others 15.2% · Reconquête 8.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aveyron
- Marnhagues-et-Latour135 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saujac131 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montclar136 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lapanouse-de-Cernon137 voters · No label (small commune)
- Pomayrols137 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ols-et-Rinhodes129 voters · No label (small commune)
- Les Costes-Gozon138 voters · No label (small commune)
- Veyreau139 voters · No label (small commune)