France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Flavin: ENSEMBLE POUR FLAVIN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Flavin (Aveyron, INSEE 12102) has 2,041 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,500 voted, 1,455 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR FLAVINNo label (small commune) 50.0% · 728 · 15 seats
  2. UNIS POUR L'AVENIR DE FLAVINNo label (small commune) 50.0% · 727 · 4 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Flavin

Flavin is a commune in Aveyron with 2,041 registered voters, the 17th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 73.5% of them voted, more than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and ENSEMBLE POUR FLAVIN won 15 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.7%, National Rally 20.7%, France Unbowed 13.3%. France Unbowed did 9 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 33.4%, with Édouard Philippe on 19.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Flavin from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 33.4% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 19.5% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.4% · France 7.6%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.2% · France 16.8%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 3.1% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.9% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.6% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.2% · France 2.1%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.7% · National Rally 20.7% · France Unbowed 13.3% · Others 9.1% · Republicans 7.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Aveyron

Every commune in Aveyron → · All of France →