Cransac-les-Thermes: Cap vers l'avenir won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Cransac-les-Thermes (Aveyron, INSEE 12083) has 1,077 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,077registered voters
- 53%turnout, 2026 round one
- 36.4%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 570 voted, 444 valid votes
- Cap vers l'avenirNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 444 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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What changes hands
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About Cransac-les-Thermes
Cransac-les-Thermes is a commune in Aveyron with 1,077 registered voters, the 41st largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 52.9% of them voted, fewer than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and Cap vers l'avenir won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 29.9%, National Rally 24.2%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.4%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 36.4%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 22.7%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Cransac-les-Thermes from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.4% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 22.7% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.4% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.4% · France 14.3%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 4.6% · France 2.0%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.4% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.5% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.5% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.8% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 29.9% · National Rally 24.2% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.4% · Others 6.1% · Communist Party 5.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aveyron
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