Orlu: VIVRE ENSEMBLE DANS LA VALLEE D'ORLU won the town hall in 2026; Raphaël Glucksmann would lead here in 2027
Orlu (Ariège, INSEE 09220) has 129 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 129registered voters
- 74%turnout, 2026 round one
- 48.1%Raphaël Glucksmann, 2027 round one here (France: 13.4%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 95 voted, 74 valid votes
- VIVRE ENSEMBLE DANS LA VALLEE D'ORLUNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 74 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Orlu
Orlu is a commune in Ariège with 129 registered voters, the 194th largest of the département's 325 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 73.6% of them voted, more than the 64% across Ariège, and VIVRE ENSEMBLE DANS LA VALLEE D'ORLU won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1%, Socialists 17.5%, France Unbowed 15.8%. Socialists did 16 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Raphaël Glucksmann ahead on 48.1%, with Marine Le Pen on 19.7%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Orlu from how it voted in 2022.
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 48.1% · France 13.4%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 19.7% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.2% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 8.6% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.8% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.5% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.7% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 0.8% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.6% · France 2.0%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1% · Socialists 17.5% · France Unbowed 15.8% · National Rally 14.9% · Others 9.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ariège
- Bénaix128 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sentenac-d'Oust127 voters · No label (small commune)
- Audressein133 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cescau133 voters · No label (small commune)
- Garanou133 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montségur134 voters · No label (small commune)
- Vèbre134 voters · No label (small commune)
- Niaux135 voters · No label (small commune)