Montbel: Gilbert Van Der Meulen's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027
Montbel (Ariège, INSEE 09200) has 122 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 122registered voters
- 93%turnout, 2026 round one
- 33.6%Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 2027 round one here (France: 16.8%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round two, 22 March · 113 voted, 113 valid votes
- MONTBEL ENSEMBLELed by Gilbert Van Der Meulen · No label (small commune) 48.7% · 55 · 6 seats
- MONTBEL EN CONFIANCELed by Céline Terpant Malou · No label (small commune) 42.5% · 48 · 1 seat
- NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE AVENIRLed by Evelyne Goubayon · No label (small commune) 8.8% · 10
Round one, 15 March · 114 voted, 113 valid votes
- MONTBEL ENSEMBLENo label (small commune) 43.4% · 49
- MONTBEL EN CONFIANCENo label (small commune) 36.3% · 41
- NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE AVENIRNo label (small commune) 20.4% · 23
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Montbel
Montbel is a commune in Ariège with 122 registered voters, the 199th largest of the département's 325 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 93.4% of them voted, more than the 64% across Ariège, and the list led by Gilbert Van Der Meulen won 6 of the council's 7 seats after a second round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 39.7%, National Rally 19.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.2%. France Unbowed did 18 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 33.6%, with Marine Le Pen on 32.5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montbel from how it voted in 2022.
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 33.6% · France 16.8%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.5% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.3% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 7.3% · France 14.3%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.2% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.2% · France 2.9%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.7% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.8% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 39.7% · National Rally 19.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.2% · Others 7.4% · Reconquête 7.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ariège
- Cérizols122 voters · No label (small commune)
- Durfort122 voters · No label (small commune)
- Roquefixade122 voters · No label (small commune)
- Esclagne120 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sentenac-d'Oust127 voters · No label (small commune)
- Celles117 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bénaix128 voters · No label (small commune)
- Erp116 voters · No label (small commune)