La Bastide-sur-l'Hers: LA BASTIDE SUR L'HERS 2026-2032 won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
La Bastide-sur-l'Hers (Ariège, INSEE 09043) has 571 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 571registered voters
- 54%turnout, 2026 round one
- 41.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 307 voted, 276 valid votes
- LA BASTIDE SUR L'HERS 2026-2032No label (small commune) 100.0% · 276 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About La Bastide-sur-l'Hers
La Bastide-sur-l'Hers is a commune in Ariège with 571 registered voters, the 49th largest of the département's 325 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 53.8% of them voted, fewer than the 64% across Ariège, and LA BASTIDE SUR L'HERS 2026-2032 won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 32.1%, National Rally 28.8%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 11.9%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 16 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 41.5%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 24.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to La Bastide-sur-l'Hers from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 41.5% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 24.1% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.4% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 5.9% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.8% · France 7.6%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 4.2% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.1% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.4% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.0% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 32.1% · National Rally 28.8% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 11.9% · Others 9.1% · Communist Party 4.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ariège
- Saint-Pierre-de-Rivière578 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montaut581 voters · No label (small commune)
- Carla-Bayle560 voters · No label (small commune)
- Val-de-Sos558 voters · No label (small commune)
- Dun585 voters · No label (small commune)
- Vernajoul557 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sainte-Croix-Volvestre586 voters · No label (small commune)
- Auzat556 voters · No label (small commune)