Saint-Martin-de-Bavel: LA CONTINUITÉ won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Saint-Martin-de-Bavel (Ain, INSEE 01372) has 396 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 396registered voters
- 49%turnout, 2026 round one
- 37.2%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 196 voted, 185 valid votes
- LA CONTINUITÉNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 185 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Saint-Martin-de-Bavel
Saint-Martin-de-Bavel is a commune in Ain with 396 registered voters, the 279th largest of the département's 390 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 49.5% of them voted, fewer than the 52.5% across Ain, and LA CONTINUITÉ won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 24.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.7%, France Unbowed 21.9%. Greens did 7 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 37.2%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 16.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Martin-de-Bavel from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 37.2% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.2% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.0% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.3% · France 14.3%
- Marine TondelierGreens 8.2% · France 2.9%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.9% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.1% · France 3.8%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.4% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 24.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.7% · France Unbowed 21.9% · Greens 11.2% · Others 4.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ain
- Saint-Genis-sur-Menthon393 voters · No label (small commune)
- Chanay392 voters · No label (small commune)
- Varambon401 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Eloi389 voters · No label (small commune)
- Le Plantay405 voters · No label (small commune)
- Romans406 voters · No label (small commune)
- Vesancy407 voters · No label (small commune)
- Béréziat384 voters · No label (small commune)