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Sestrica: PAR would keep its majority

Sestrica (Zaragoza, 349 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PAR±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 68.0% of the vote (2023: 64.5%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sestrica

Sestrica is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 349 inhabitants, the 111th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PAR came first with 64.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 85% of the 301 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PAR on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PARLocal lists 64.5% → 68.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 18.8% → 15.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.0% → 15.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 256 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sestrica in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →