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Morata de Jalón: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Morata de Jalón (Zaragoza, 1,101 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.0% of the vote (2023: 33.6%) Majority 1%
GMEC−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 2%
CS-TÚ ARAGÓN+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Morata de Jalón

Morata de Jalón is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 1,101 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 GMEC came first with 34.6% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 74.4% of the 889 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: GMEC would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 33.6% → 33.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. GMECSumar, Podemos and allies 34.6% → 32.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 25.4% → 29.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.2% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 661 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Morata de Jalón in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →