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Botorrita: PSOE would keep its majority

Botorrita (Zaragoza, 526 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 66.4% of the vote (2023: 71.6%) Majority over 99%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Botorrita

Botorrita is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 526 inhabitants, the 89th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 71.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 73.7% of the 453 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 71.6% → 66.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 8.7% → 14.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.3% → 14.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 334 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Botorrita in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →