Ainzón: AV would keep its majority
Ainzón (Zaragoza, 1,066 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 89%AV majority
- 708valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ainzón
Ainzón is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 1,066 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AV came first with 52% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 80.5% of the 880 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AV on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVLocal lists 52.0% → 55.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 36.0% → 33.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 10.9% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 708 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.