Castrogonzalo: PP would keep its majority
Castrogonzalo (Zamora, 441 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 73%PP majority
- 321valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 50.8% of the vote (2023: 49.5%)
Majority 73%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 34.3%)
Majority under 1%
U.P.L.±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 14.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.5% → 50.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.3% → 31.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 14.0% → 15.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 321 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.