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Rueda: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Rueda (Valladolid, 1,140 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 5%
XNTROF±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Rueda

Rueda is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 1,140 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.7% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 2. 81.3% of the 931 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.7% → 37.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. XNTROFLocal lists 21.0% → 21.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.6% → 21.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 12.9% → 19.7% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 757 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rueda in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →