Peñafiel: PP would keep its majority
Peñafiel (Valladolid, 5,104 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 64%PP majority
- 2,487valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Peñafiel
Peñafiel is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 5,104 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 49.4% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 64.6% of the 3,852 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 64% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.4% → 47.3% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.7% → 23.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 9.9% → 15.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- UD.CALocal lists 8.9% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CCDLocal lists 2.9% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,487 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.