Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castronuño: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Castronuño (Valladolid, 812 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 32%
TLP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 6%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.6% → 40.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. TLPSumar, Podemos and allies 38.8% → 34.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.5% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.7% → 11.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 578 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castronuño in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →