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Piles: IXP would win a majority

Piles (Valencia/València, 2,882 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IXP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 41.8%) Majority 56%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 15.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Piles

Piles is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,882 inhabitants, the 108th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IXP came first with 41.8% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 77.3% of the 2,198 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps IXP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IXPLocal lists 41.8% → 46.4% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 29.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 15.7% → 13.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.6% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,699 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Piles in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →