España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Genovés: no list would have a majority, PP largest

El Genovés (Valencia/València, 2,780 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 46.1%) Majority 35%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 10%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Genovés

El Genovés is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,780 inhabitants, the 111th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 46.1% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 83.3% of the 2,206 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.1% → 44.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 45.4% → 40.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,838 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Genovés in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →