España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Catadau: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Catadau (Valencia/València, 2,862 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 15%
IPC±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Catadau

Catadau is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,862 inhabitants, the 109th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 42.2% of the vote and 5 seats; IPC was second with 3. 77.2% of the 2,266 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.2% → 40.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. IPCLocal lists 30.2% → 30.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.7% → 15.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.9% → 13.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,750 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Catadau in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →