España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Paterna: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Paterna (Valencia/València, 71,880 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−2
12 councillors (2023: 14) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 43%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Paterna

Paterna is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 71,880 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.6% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 66.4% of the 51,675 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 12 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.6% → 45.4% 14 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.6% → 23.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.2% → 21.2% 3 → 6 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 8.2% → 5.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEM-EUPV:UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VLCLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 34,309 valid votes including 353 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paterna in size, in Valencia/València

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