Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Paterna: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Paterna (Valencia/València, 71,880 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−2
12 councillors (2023: 14) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 43%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.6% → 45.4% 14 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.6% → 23.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.2% → 21.2% 3 → 6 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 8.2% → 5.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEM-EUPV:UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VLCLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 34,309 valid votes including 353 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paterna in size, in Valencia/València

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