Alfafar: PP would keep its majority
Alfafar (Valencia/València, 21,480 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 77%PP majority
- 9,895valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alfafar
Alfafar is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 21,480 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 49.3% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 63.6% of the 15,563 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 77% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.3% → 49.9% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 28.8% → 26.1% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 8.5% → 15.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 7.7% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEM - EUPV - AV: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,895 valid votes including 110 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.