Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alboraia/Alboraya: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alboraia/Alboraya (Valencia/València, 25,149 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
AA4±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
EUPV - PODEM: UNIDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 29.1% → 29.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.2% → 28.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.6% → 16.5% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 13.5% → 10.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. AA4Local lists 6.6% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 3.3% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,567 valid votes including 133 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alboraia/Alboraya in size, in Valencia/València

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