España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Velada: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Velada (Toledo, 2,865 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 29%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 21%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.9% → 45.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 47.6% → 43.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.4% → 10.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,849 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Velada in size, in Toledo

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