Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oropesa: PSOE would keep its majority

Oropesa (Toledo, 2,607 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.3% of the vote (2023: 53.9%) Majority 68%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 32%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.9% → 52.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 43.8% → 45.4% 5 → 5 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,734 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oropesa in size, in Toledo

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