Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gerindote: PSOE would keep its majority

Gerindote (Toledo, 2,518 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 52.4%) Majority 77%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.3% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority 3%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.4% → 52.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.1% → 36.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 12.5% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,566 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gerindote in size, in Toledo

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