España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sonseca: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sonseca (Toledo, 11,084 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 3%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 14.2%) Majority 0%
I.U.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sonseca

Sonseca is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 11,084 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.1% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 67.8% of the 8,415 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.1% → 36.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.0% → 28.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.2% → 22.0% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 15.4% → 12.0% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,706 valid votes including 81 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sonseca in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →