España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Pepino: PP would keep its majority

Pepino (Toledo, 3,003 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 55.1%) Majority 76%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 20.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 22.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.1% → 51.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 20.1% → 28.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.1% → 17.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. AQUI AHORALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,868 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pepino in size, in Toledo

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