Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Madridejos: PP would keep its majority

Madridejos (Toledo, 10,202 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 53.7%) Majority 83%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 34.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.7% → 52.1% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.3% → 30.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. AQUI AHORALocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,754 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Madridejos in size, in Toledo

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