Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Las Ventas con Peña Aguilera: PP would keep its majority

Las Ventas con Peña Aguilera (Toledo, 1,109 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 65.8% of the vote (2023: 63.5%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 36.1%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 63.5% → 65.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.1% → 33.9% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 864 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Las Ventas con Peña Aguilera in size, in Toledo

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