Guadamur: PP would keep its majority
Guadamur (Toledo, 1,774 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 1,144valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 60.7% of the vote (2023: 58.6%)
Majority 98%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 39.7%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.6% → 60.7% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 39.7% → 37.6% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,144 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Guadamur in size, in Toledo
- Camuñas1,742 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Huerta de Valdecarábanos1,726 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- El Carpio de Tajo1,826 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- La Torre de Esteban Hambrán1,703 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- San Pablo de los Montes1,696 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villaseca de la Sagra1,864 inhabitants · 9 councillors