El Puente del Arzobispo: PSOE would keep its majority
El Puente del Arzobispo (Toledo, 1,153 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 75%PSOE majority
- 824valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 51.8% of the vote (2023: 56.7%)
Majority 75%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 33.4%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 56.7% → 51.8% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.4% → 32.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.4% → 14.3% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 824 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.