Calera y Chozas: PP would keep its majority
Calera y Chozas (Toledo, 4,716 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 2,784valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 55.7% of the vote (2023: 56.4%)
Majority 91%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 38.4%)
Majority 2%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 3.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.4% → 55.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 38.4% → 34.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 3.9% → 8.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,784 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.