Bargas: PP would keep its majority
Bargas (Toledo, 10,807 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 49%PP majority
- 5,570valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 42% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Bargas
Bargas is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 10,807 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.4% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 68.8% of the 8,096 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 49% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.4% → 44.6% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 39.1% → 36.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 4.3% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,570 valid votes including 79 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.