Barcience: PSOE would keep its majority
Barcience (Toledo, 1,003 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 80%PSOE majority
- 454valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 50.6% of the vote (2023: 54.4%)
Majority 80%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 29.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 54.4% → 50.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 29.7% → 29.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 9.5% → 16.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 454 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.