Arcicóllar: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arcicóllar (Toledo, 1,004 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 579valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arcicóllar
Arcicóllar is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,004 inhabitants, the 116th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 39.7% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 73.1% of the 792 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 39.7% → 40.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.3% → 29.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 26.3% → 28.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 579 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.