Alcaudete de la Jara: PSOE would keep its majority
Alcaudete de la Jara (Toledo, 1,614 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 71%PSOE majority
- 1,007valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 49.4% of the vote (2023: 53.8%)
Majority 71%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 31.2%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 5.1%)
Majority 0%
SIA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 9.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.8% → 49.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 31.2% → 30.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.1% → 10.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- SIALocal lists 9.3% → 9.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,007 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Alcaudete de la Jara in size, in Toledo
- El Toboso1,663 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Quismondo1,673 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Malpica de Tajo1,688 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- San Pablo de los Montes1,696 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- La Torre de Esteban Hambrán1,703 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Huerta de Valdecarábanos1,726 inhabitants · 9 councillors