La Fresneda: EXISTE would win a majority
La Fresneda (Teruel, 462 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 48%EXISTE majority
- 298valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EXISTE+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 45.9% of the vote (2023: 43.3%)
Majority 48%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.4% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 24%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 14.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EXISTELocal lists 43.3% → 45.9% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 42.3% → 42.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.1% → 11.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 298 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Fresneda in size, in Teruel
- Torrecilla de Alcañiz460 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Orihuela del Tremedal454 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Peñarroya de Tastavins450 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- La Puebla de Valverde448 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Torrijo del Campo482 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Urrea de Gaén440 inhabitants · 7 councillors