Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alfambra: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Alfambra (Teruel, 490 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority under 1%
EXISTE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 25.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 23.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 17.9% → 25.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  2. EXISTELocal lists 25.9% → 25.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.1% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 17.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PARLocal lists 10.5% → 10.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 324 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfambra in size, in Teruel

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