Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Marçà: CM would keep its majority

Marçà (Tarragona, 593 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 59.1% of the vote (2023: 66.6%) Majority 98%
IPM - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 66.6% → 59.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. IPM - AMERC 29.2% → 36.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. ARA PLLocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 329 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Marçà in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →