Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bot: no list would have a majority, APB-CP largest

Bot (Tarragona, 566 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

APB-CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 37%
SB-MTE - C±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 1%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 19.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. APB-CPPSOE 43.3% → 44.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. SB-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 37.4% → 35.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 19.1% → 19.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 404 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bot in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →